Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs 1win - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb44bfcb84c047773012660d44beb42c70349fd87cefc32de97491328f80e26b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9942…f1abbacked 1win | 2c | 4,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 1win | 15c | 1,626$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.89 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed 1win | 23c | 866.17$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.56 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…38d6backed BetBoom Team | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed 1win | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked 1win | 26c | 405$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked BetBoom Team | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed 1win | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed BetBoom Team | 76c | 284.31$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.34 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed BetBoom Team | 73c | 283.42$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.99 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked 1win | 21c | 228.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked 1win | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed 1win | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…efbbbacked BetBoom Team | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs 1win (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsBetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs 1win - Game 2 WinnerBetBoom Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.