CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Clutchain (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb47c4dbd9e10c9a34bcb48ac16f5f649bcca3265a82981ea04669156a6aae8a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Walczakiof Walczaki, Clutchain
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Clutchain | 2c | 1,800$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Clutchain | 24c | 1,036$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.74 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Clutchain | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Walczaki | 78c | 623.82$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.17 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Clutchain | 22c | 543.61$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.59 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Clutchain | 23c | 507.42$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…440fbacked Clutchain | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed Walczaki | 76c | 492.1$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.1 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Clutchain | 16c | 431.76$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 364 | 46.7%170 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Clutchain | 12c | 378.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3aba…debfbacked Clutchain | 16c | 314.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Clutchain | 23c | 221.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Clutchain | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Clutchain | 14c | 165.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Walczaki | 77c | 144.97$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Clutchain | 19c | 139.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Clutchain | 23c | 100.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Clutchain | 24c | 97.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Walczaki | 77c | 96.06$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 446 | 54.9%245 W · 201 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Clutchain | 22c | 86.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Clutchain | 14c | 79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 168 | 29.2%49 W · 119 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133c…b5abbacked Walczaki | 78c | 57.23$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Clutchain | 21c | 57.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked Walczaki | 73c | 31.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Walczaki | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Walczaki | 76c | 20.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Clutchain (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Clutchain - Map 2 WinnerWalczaki won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.