Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb482a4bfc59d4fe8e1c82f3107a085a2f377a567db57cd6420468e6c70162be6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajunsof Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks, Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 5c | 2,091$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.03 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 77c | 1,493$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.15 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 75c | 1,443$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.03 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 27c | 1,339$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 27c | 1,143$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.1 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 73c | 607.82$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.39 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 75c | 592.77$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.19 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 13c | 520.21$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f3…0d07backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 22c | 452.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 22c | 440.14$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…1e83backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 10c | 417.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 13c | 294.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 25c | 289$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.25 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 75c | 149$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 74c | 127.31$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 18c | 112$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 14c | 107.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 75c | 72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…eaeebacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 17c | 68.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 75c | 51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 80c | 42.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 25c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 75c | 21.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 77c | 14.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.