CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs TNC - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4ebba662221b704363271eb0d52294cb1ce112762367f0376f49e89eaa1d3a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TNCof Favbet, TNC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bdf…c9cabacked Favbet | 73c | 500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked TNC | 48c | 400.43$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.62 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Favbet | 45c | 395.21$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.2 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e55…be6fbacked TNC | 29c | 312.14$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.94 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Favbet | 58c | 214$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.12 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked TNC | 47c | 167$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.96 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed TNC | 42c | 147.62$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.62 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb58d…b858backed Favbet | 58c | 147.62$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked TNC | 40c | 146$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TNC | 66c | 128.24$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Favbet | 36c | 116.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf43…2732backed Favbet | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed TNC | 62c | 92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Favbet | 51c | 76.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed TNC | 28c | 75.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.23 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -11.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked TNC | 43c | 74.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TNC | 57c | 74.07$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Favbet | 60c | 71.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Favbet | 71c | 61.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed TNC | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Favbet | 70c | 50.93$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed TNC | 44c | 47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked TNC | 31c | 42.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf4…8c98backed TNC | 46c | 39.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Favbet | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Favbet | 72c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Favbet | 66c | 25.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…55c2backed Favbet | 49c | 22.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Favbet | 74c | 19.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Favbet vs TNC - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Favbet vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group StageTNC won
- Counter-Strike: Favbet vs TNC - Map 1 WinnerFavbet won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.