Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Charlotte vs. Tulane
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5003ebf29b7a1ec33db1459bf112b19682f154facae7a8ffd735eb3921a4f03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tulaneof Charlotte, Tulane
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xffb4…de48backed Charlotte | 25c | 255$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd151…86a2backed Tulane | 75c | 126$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd5…ff16backed Charlotte | 21c | 123$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x107e…6c3cbacked Charlotte | 21c | 72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ac…9538backed Charlotte | 22c | 68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 48cpaid | -75%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…5e51backed Tulane | 79c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a3…6fffbacked Tulane | 79c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8657…f30fbacked Charlotte | 21c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dae…eed9backed Tulane | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe1…9430backed Tulane | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…103bbacked Tulane | 75c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd3…c8e2backed Tulane | 75c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tulane | 69c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae0…0cb9backed Tulane | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d8…e82bbacked Tulane | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89da…8610backed Tulane | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c65…3cbabacked Tulane | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4685…823dbacked Tulane | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205e…7c25backed Tulane | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16dd…56f2backed Tulane | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…0d44backed Tulane | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.