Serie A · resolved market
Coppa Italia: AC Milan vs. Roma (To Advance)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb50ebb7420e5bad18ee95a657d8ebea2f45aca5cd39856211d77a70125fbf9f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milanof Milan, Roma
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x945e…2acabacked Roma | 5c | 484$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Roma | 37c | 299.94$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…a0b3backed Roma | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Milan | 60c | 235.88$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.35 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Milan | 62c | 160.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.37 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Milan | 64c | 156.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Milan | 64c | 155.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed Roma | 36c | 123$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6c…d9f8backed Roma | 38c | 57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…8d1cbacked Milan | 62c | 57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc683…404cbacked Milan | 62c | 56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c22…e09abacked Milan | 63c | 54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Roma | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fcc…a870backed Roma | 37c | 49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d0…1616backed Roma | 38c | 49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9476…10dcbacked Roma | 38c | 48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Milan | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe780…7286backed Roma | 38c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…1585backed Roma | 38c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d91…54a3backed Roma | 38c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…cf17backed Milan | 62c | 43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5119…5054backed Roma | 38c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…c1febacked Milan | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e8…6caebacked Roma | 38c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ae…d118backed Milan | 62c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc49…d6d1backed Roma | 38c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fe…0a95backed Milan | 62c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…d1dabacked Roma | 37c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…f134backed Milan | 63c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Roma | 35c | 32.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c70…265abacked Milan | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…de6fbacked Milan | 62c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e52…1034backed Roma | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…9dd9backed Milan | 62c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c88…16f3backed Milan | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…8416backed Milan | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd0…2ca2backed Milan | 62c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d26…f02dbacked Milan | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc0…1388backed Milan | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Milan | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x451d…f2b0backed Milan | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x120b…07c9backed Milan | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a9…0d8fbacked Milan | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.