TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Baylor vs. TCU

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Baylorof Baylor, TCU
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,569
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,367

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,569 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x952c…d358backed Baylor72c312$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.36666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c53…2ecfbacked Baylor60c216$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56fe…d140backed TCU50c198$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+40.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e8…4ea9backed TCU42c197$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.74633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8d3…0de3backed Baylor58c186$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.12850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a29…a470backed Baylor72c183$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+69.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe28…5f08backed Baylor57c182$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.263100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+181.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe257…21c4backed Baylor59c153$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.17250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x259c…1766backed TCU42c140$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9565…021abacked TCU39c126$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd901…df99backed Baylor58c110$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked TCU27c104$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.711,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd659…0b87backed Baylor47c98$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.923100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+58.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe21e…c3a1backed TCU40c97$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb988…aa89backed TCU28c89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc189…fcd4backed Baylor61c88$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+65.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf80c…04f9backed TCU43c83$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.69450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac02…793fbacked Baylor50c83$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+75.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe933…f4acbacked TCU50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x596d…bc6bbacked Baylor50c79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7912…fa94backed Baylor50c77$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+33.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a34…d4bfbacked TCU50c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f34…52babacked Baylor61c75$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d04…3fd3backed TCU50c74$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a08…f344backed Baylor50c73$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+36.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc56c…41e1backed TCU28c72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1640%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1dc2…e1f5backed TCU28c69$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a6…b96fbacked TCU39c63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdac9…9154backed TCU28c63$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde3a…9b86backed TCU39c62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7960…fcbabacked Baylor61c58$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d85…948dbacked TCU28c57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0478…d6b5backed TCU39c56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.84425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ea…377dbacked TCU43c56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa119…4674backed TCU40c56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1328…e46ebacked Baylor61c55$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.45742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0662…36e1backed TCU40c52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc20…6f89backed TCU43c52$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.36425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7604…a01ebacked TCU50c52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Baylor62c51$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3853057.4%304 W · 226 L+33.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc341…063dbacked Baylor61c51$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x585d…9423backed Baylor50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc376…584abacked TCU50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3321…08c4backed Baylor50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ff…7795backed TCU40c48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2045…e12cbacked TCU50c46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e09…a080backed TCU40c46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick54cpaid+34.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6db…bf8abacked TCU50c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked TCU38c44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7234842.8%149 W · 199 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26f3…83fcbacked Baylor32c44$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8776…1510backed Baylor50c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc595…3bbdbacked TCU40c42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e4e…8a35backed TCU39c41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c33…37c4backed Baylor50c41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed TCU40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.829012.1%35 W · 255 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8067…600dbacked TCU40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f33…ad88backed TCU50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9056…7940backed TCU39c38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb1c…52c8backed TCU39c38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1838…ababbacked Baylor60c37$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6edd…f3f6backed TCU50c37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b58…36d6backed Baylor50c37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…4f32backed TCU39c37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45a9…2c75backed TCU65c36$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb351…cb4bbacked TCU50c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-44.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26b2…282fbacked Baylor50c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4462…d787backed TCU50c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa3…dd6ebacked TCU39c36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd4d…3d51backed TCU39c35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3363…77aebacked Baylor57c34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.62560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0caf…9a9dbacked TCU39c34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-57.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a8…97cfbacked TCU67c33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.11250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87d1…540cbacked TCU39c32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2169…e76ebacked Baylor50c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6064…9a91backed TCU50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5db1…b5c7backed Baylor50c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bcc…f92bbacked TCU50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd768…6a7abacked Baylor50c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+64.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc0c…959abacked TCU50c31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bb0…713cbacked TCU65c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe5d…b6f0backed Baylor50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+74.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x70eb…accdbacked Baylor50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…a5fabacked Baylor60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb18…c425backed TCU50c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c16…5b58backed TCU50c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe50…7f05backed Baylor60c27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7918…06c8backed Baylor61c27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…29bebacked Baylor58c27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11fc…de5ebacked TCU43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.75862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0781…bfadbacked Baylor61c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae26…b9ccbacked Baylor61c24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…b923backed Baylor66c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.163100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b9…bf06backed TCU65c24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x647f…e5acbacked Baylor61c23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5db2…9e57backed Baylor72c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x073b…1097backed TCU65c23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca14…2f10backed Baylor61c23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x170c…a663backed TCU68c23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32e4…eb88backed Baylor61c22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58ba…c1c6backed Baylor61c22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.