Lol · resolved market
LoL: Once Upon A Team vs Senshi Esports Club (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb53ff3877f1e450ce089f5dbcb9135c953fff579fa710b7a2ff9c23a4ff77c7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senshi Esports Clubof Once Upon A Team, Senshi Esports Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed Once Upon A Team | 35c | 2,363$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.62 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Senshi Esports Club | 69c | 785.4$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.89 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Senshi Esports Club | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Senshi Esports Club | 65c | 448.71$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.05 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Once Upon A Team | 29c | 224$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Senshi Esports Club | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…0550backed Senshi Esports Club | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Senshi Esports Club | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c6…a5dcbacked Senshi Esports Club | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -78%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Senshi Esports Club | 64c | 73.78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…b398backed Senshi Esports Club | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…4574backed Once Upon A Team | 55c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Once Upon A Team | 36c | 57.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b7…52bebacked Once Upon A Team | 30c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Once Upon A Team | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Senshi Esports Club | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Senshi Esports Club | 61c | 35.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe566…4943backed Senshi Esports Club | 71c | 29.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Senshi Esports Club | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 175 | 61.1%107 W · 68 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Senshi Esports Club | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.