Tennis · resolved market
ITF Oliva: Jenny Lim vs Franziska Sziedat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb54fa9348e70d9fd1c2f12a719d6b4bd006c93c604a9692131bf49c4d0a5f0e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jenny Limof Jenny Lim, Franziska Sziedat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbfb…84a6backed Franziska Sziedat | 30c | 4,817$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 128 | 14.1%18 W · 110 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Jenny Lim | 70c | 1,515$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.65 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Jenny Lim | 73c | 1,325$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.33 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Jenny Lim | 79c | 1,019$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.67 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Jenny Lim | 72c | 662.46$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.02 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jenny Lim | 72c | 537.81$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.61 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Franziska Sziedat | 21c | 425.49$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.35 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Franziska Sziedat | 22c | 360.76$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Jenny Lim | 74c | 354.45$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.76 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee99…ffcabacked Franziska Sziedat | 28c | 214.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eac…9b93backed Franziska Sziedat | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Jenny Lim | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Franziska Sziedat | 20c | 58.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Franziska Sziedat | 22c | 49.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Jenny Lim | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Jenny Lim | 76c | 22.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Jenny Lim | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Jenny Lim | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.