Asian League · resolved market
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb58ee2f16e5f7e51b18555b271911c488ab7c5da20aebfc0ac8147622e5b9b68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 1,299$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.78 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 69c | 605.49$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.49 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 74c | 333.86$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.86 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked Over | 58c | 180$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 58c | 173.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.43 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 27c | 157.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Over | 47c | 148.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.61 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf2…37cfbacked Over | 48c | 104$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 40c | 93.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3592…c81abacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 55cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 44c | 79.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 70c | 71.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 60c | 65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Under | 43c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.