Premier League · resolved market
Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-11-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5a8ee9164425e9192378fb05a2ec76b1f183e2b864f9433997e0c34d0c4d3a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 50c | 22,579$11,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,289.67 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 6,292$3,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,253.39 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 29c | 5,198$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,706.96 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 69c | 3,222$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.74 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 48c | 1,694$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.94 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 787.35$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.71 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 44c | 750$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 50c | 517.35$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.68 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 50c | 452.44$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.42 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 53c | 262$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.68 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…88aabacked Yes | 8c | 199.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe08…10ebbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked No | 48c | 182$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.64 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e5ffbacked No | 49c | 124.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.74 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 52c | 77.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 50c | 48.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 56c | 42.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 52c | 35.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed No | 50c | 34.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 48c | 32.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Yes | 44c | 27.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 56c | 25.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 139 | 44.6%62 W · 77 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db7…3057backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…1975backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-11-25?this page
- Will Norwich City FC vs. Oxford United FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Oxford United FC win on 2025-11-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.