Tennis · resolved market
Adelaide International, Qualification: Sorana Cirstea vs Kamilla Rakhimova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb61dce72197187b532389eecd6a3baaae960d01b73908d23d076ae414b70f32e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cirsteaof Cirstea, Rakhimova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Rakhimova | 16c | 2,438$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.28 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rakhimova | 19c | 873.39$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.33 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Rakhimova | 48c | 833.71$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rakhimova | 12c | 796.66$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Cirstea | 72c | 760.71$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.4 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Rakhimova | 26c | 563.96$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.63 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cirstea | 78c | 509.35$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Rakhimova | 24c | 507.72$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.85 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Rakhimova | 28c | 411.66$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.85 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Rakhimova | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Cirstea | 74c | 312.18$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.17 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rakhimova | 12c | 223.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Rakhimova | 9c | 209.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ea…ed2ebacked Cirstea | 70c | 143$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rakhimova | 30c | 138$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cirstea | 52c | 127.04$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.54 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Cirstea | 72c | 101.95$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e5…18f4backed Cirstea | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rakhimova | 10c | 98.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Rakhimova | 29c | 94.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Rakhimova | 26c | 85.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Rakhimova | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Cirstea | 76c | 65.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Rakhimova | 26c | 65.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -11.0wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Rakhimova | 21c | 65.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Rakhimova | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cirstea | 72c | 58.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked Rakhimova | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfa…223fbacked Cirstea | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Cirstea | 69c | 17.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Adelaide International, Qualification: Sorana Cirstea vs Kamilla Rakhimovathis page
- Cirstea vs. Rakhimova: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Cirstea vs. Rakhimova: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Cirstea vs. Rakhimova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.