Asian League · resolved market
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-04-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb677fce84e087107fe2742ca36c4cbf43f012791e42e9a9b10a1e8be4e08f9e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 6c | 13,225$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.69 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Yes | 69c | 2,165$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 7c | 921.3$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.86 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 36c | 589.34$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.64 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 60c | 489.95$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.63 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 38c | 409.36$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.96 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 39c | 350.62$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.22 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 5c | 348.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 42c | 299.88$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.95 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked No | 39c | 282.05$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 41c | 229.47$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.65 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 37c | 180$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 38c | 136.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 37c | 110.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed No | 11c | 108.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +292.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 35c | 97.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 62c | 79.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 68c | 51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed No | 24c | 45.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd5…a9fbbacked No | 40c | 45.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 39c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 35c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…d3fbbacked Yes | 78c | 32.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Yes | 74c | 20.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3063…e5e1backed Yes | 57c | 17.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-04-05?this page
- Will Kashiwa Reysol vs. Yokohama F·Marinos end in a draw?No won
- Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-04-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.