Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Campbell vs. Northeastern
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6da19b2f21dc6ed46a1c2a8a31312ca346e13a6d7f24200d4c6d1277a14e83d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northeasternof Campbell, Northeastern
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Northeastern | 49c | 2,733$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.42 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Campbell | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Campbell | 27c | 122.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf966…f5efbacked Campbell | 37c | 81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…93fbbacked Northeastern | 60c | 81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Northeastern | 63c | 67.57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f34…fa37backed Campbell | 37c | 64.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53b9…bb0ebacked Northeastern | 67c | 64.36$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…9dd9backed Campbell | 36c | 58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7a…07c0backed Northeastern | 63c | 56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Campbell | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46c9…36e4backed Campbell | 40c | 53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Campbell | 34c | 48.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c4…7024backed Campbell | 37c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d5…cebabacked Northeastern | 64c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebcc…718cbacked Northeastern | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3f…5960backed Campbell | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x353b…8031backed Campbell | 40c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a25…c1a1backed Campbell | 37c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9e…c061backed Northeastern | 64c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…b745backed Northeastern | 60c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x937c…d385backed Campbell | 37c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…0b22backed Campbell | 37c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…c3febacked Northeastern | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Northeastern | 67c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080d…d227backed Northeastern | 63c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…b727backed Campbell | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd280…bab7backed Northeastern | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f4…b37cbacked Northeastern | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde2…952dbacked Northeastern | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef00…1bd0backed Northeastern | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eca…84c9backed Northeastern | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…aee8backed Northeastern | 63c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae8…467cbacked Northeastern | 63c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ed…2142backed Northeastern | 64c | 18.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…5ce0backed Northeastern | 65c | 18.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…76debacked Northeastern | 67c | 17.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ca…9a52backed Northeastern | 67c | 16.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6614…ef36backed Northeastern | 63c | 15.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…3a87backed Northeastern | 68c | 15.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…4fd6backed Northeastern | 67c | 15.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.