Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Iona Gaels (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7827fcf594c606531ad14aadba49150546d76f401f42955497caa8ee5507c1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Niagara Purple Eaglesof Iona Gaels, Niagara Purple Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.99 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Iona Gaels | 47c | 4,451$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.34 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Iona Gaels | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…b1e0backed Iona Gaels | 45c | 1,983$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 52c | 322.39$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.75 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 50c | 307.1$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.24 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Iona Gaels | 47c | 301.49$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.7 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Iona Gaels | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 54c | 181.37$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.04 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 54c | 166$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Iona Gaels | 46c | 160$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Iona Gaels | 53c | 49.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Iona Gaels | 47c | 47.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Iona Gaels | 38c | 32.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed Iona Gaels | 45c | 32.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Iona Gaels | 44c | 28.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Iona Gaels (-5.5)this page
- Iona Gaels vs. Niagara Purple EaglesNiagara Purple Eagles won
- Iona Gaels vs. Niagara Purple Eagles: O/U 131.5Over won
- Iona Gaels vs. Niagara Purple Eagles: O/U 132.5Over won
- Iona Gaels vs. Niagara Purple Eagles: O/U 133.5Over won
- Spread: Iona Gaels (-6.5)Niagara Purple Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.