CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ReThink vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - United21 Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7e4fed12713f48a4834aa6cb3aec6b6d263d779aaa1e0557ffa7f4895198bd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NAVI Juniorof ReThink, NAVI Junior
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked NAVI Junior | 57c | 837.52$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.6 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ReThink | 43c | 497.1$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.69 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x803f…b6b3backed ReThink | 21c | 470.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed ReThink | 42c | 288.69$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.25 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed NAVI Junior | 69c | 184.25$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…3b9bbacked NAVI Junior | 79c | 150$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked ReThink | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NAVI Junior | 78c | 103.87$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed ReThink | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52aa…505ebacked ReThink | 18c | 81.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ReThink | 23c | 58.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked NAVI Junior | 60c | 58.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked NAVI Junior | 58c | 52.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed NAVI Junior | 70c | 47.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ReThink | 40c | 35.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed NAVI Junior | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe516…14ffbacked NAVI Junior | 60c | 33.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed NAVI Junior | 77c | 25.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 172 | 57.6%99 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa88f…3785backed ReThink | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ReThink vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - United21 Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: ReThink vs NAVI Junior - Map 2 WinnerNAVI Junior won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.