Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: UCLA Bruins (-25.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7ec3ac8defa91018c5b4da3ae51de27da0bb3b7aff3933fb3f3c28d302bbb26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UCLA Bruinsof UCLA Bruins, UC Riverside Highlanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd397…5052backed UCLA Bruins | 44c | 400$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.03 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked UCLA Bruins | 48c | 300$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 56c | 200.36$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.2 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 52c | 181$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.12 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 47c | 164$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.08 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 51c | 148.08$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 56c | 94.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed UCLA Bruins | 53c | 44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed UCLA Bruins | 53c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed UCLA Bruins | 53c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked UCLA Bruins | 53c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed UCLA Bruins | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked UCLA Bruins | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed UCLA Bruins | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed UCLA Bruins | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: UCLA Bruins (-25.5)this page
- Spread: UCLA Bruins (-24.5)UCLA Bruins won
- Spread: UCLA Bruins (-26.5)UCLA Bruins won
- UC Riverside Highlanders vs. UCLA BruinsUCLA Bruins won
- UC Riverside Highlanders vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 148.5Over won
- UC Riverside Highlanders vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 149.5Over won
- UC Riverside Highlanders vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 150.5Over won
- UC Riverside Highlanders vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 151.5Over won
- UC Riverside Highlanders vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 152.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.