TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Connecticut Huskies vs. Providence Friars: O/U 152.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,310
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,324

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,310 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7b47…d615backed Under49c20,443$9,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,975.4774051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80024748.2%119 W · 128 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c5,856$2,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,895.6112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c1,942$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.712,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over50c1,288$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.582,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Over52c1,056$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50711850%59 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under48c825.84$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.44,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over52c746$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.281,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over53c649.63$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.572,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over51c488$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.1260548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under48c261.63$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.581,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6079448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5049849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Over51c96$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.047749.4%38 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under54c83$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.825942.4%25 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under52c81$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.061,12446.4%521 W · 603 L-25.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f41…5cb3backed Under50c63$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.53447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7bd…d82dbacked Over46c37$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.982857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca0…7ebebacked Under50c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b40…93f4backed Under49c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.683455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x143d…5bc4backed Over46c32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.285261.5%32 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.695,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaad7…5557backed Under51c25.69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.111536.5%42 W · 73 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf9…142bbacked Under49c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.783860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d2d…ffcebacked Over50c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.52347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.