CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: AAB (-1.5) vs against All authority (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb81458039a96fc561d5a9073c2fbca168b518c080401600ba506fcd2d98dc285
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AaB Esportof AaB Esport, against All authority
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed AaB Esport | 54c | 5,355$2,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.63 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed against All authority | 46c | 1,079$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.74 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed against All authority | 46c | 862$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.72 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed against All authority | 46c | 518.62$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.53 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed against All authority | 47c | 508.89$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.73 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed against All authority | 46c | 441.14$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.92 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed against All authority | 47c | 417.02$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed against All authority | 47c | 372.17$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.92 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…9384backed against All authority | 46c | 369.22$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked against All authority | 46c | 216.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.53 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed against All authority | 47c | 212.34$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed against All authority | 46c | 189.98$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.39 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed against All authority | 46c | 153.48$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1afd…427ebacked against All authority | 46c | 129.17$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.42 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed AaB Esport | 53c | 125$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed against All authority | 46c | 80.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed AaB Esport | 54c | 39.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked AaB Esport | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: AAB (-1.5) vs against All authority (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs against All authority (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group StageAaB Esport won
- Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs against All authority - Map 1 WinnerAaB Esport won
- Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs against All authority - Map 2 WinnerAaB Esport won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.