Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Virginia vs. Virginia Tech
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb818cd17c4aa7611c7561bac4593ab3b7628140e92183b8b45b6d2027ce26171
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virginiaof Virginia, Virginia Tech
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Virginia Tech | 20c | 3,270$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.69 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…d0acbacked Virginia | 79c | 3,241$2,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Virginia Tech | 21c | 1,150$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.97 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d3…2425backed Virginia Tech | 50c | 174$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Virginia Tech | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3726backed Virginia | 80c | 50.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe064…4cc2backed Virginia | 50c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Virginia | 43c | 43.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d96…ffd7backed Virginia | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x608a…dbdfbacked Virginia | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfde…6516backed Virginia Tech | 50c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…d922backed Virginia | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…25afbacked Virginia | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Virginia Tech | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8213…9ac8backed Virginia | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7efd…1629backed Virginia Tech | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0089…6224backed Virginia Tech | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…515ebacked Virginia | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa814…bb34backed Virginia | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b0…9085backed Virginia Tech | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419c…5a67backed Virginia Tech | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c7…9cecbacked Virginia Tech | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.