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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Rhode Island vs. St. Joseph's

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
St. Joseph'sof Rhode Island, St. Joseph's
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,581
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,633

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,581 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29c0…efaabacked St. Joseph's76c326$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.751,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11fc…de5ebacked St. Joseph's79c205$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.05862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x070e…3518backed Rhode Island22c182$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe1…1a1cbacked Rhode Island20c178$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Rhode Island20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029012.1%35 W · 255 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd173…0b6bbacked Rhode Island30c140$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.41per pick43cpaid+112%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b9f…e857backed St. Joseph's50c139$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed St. Joseph's51c136$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6420548.8%100 W · 105 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ed2…f8a2backed St. Joseph's51c102$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+30.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aed…3ad2backed Rhode Island49c99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5130%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xed7f…0f12backed Rhode Island21c98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.58450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46ba…b15cbacked St. Joseph's70c98$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-46.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4768…bd69backed Rhode Island21c97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e2…2ae5backed St. Joseph's78c88$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a9e…a0e8backed Rhode Island50c77$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd79e…6dfebacked Rhode Island21c73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d3…4c04backed Rhode Island20c63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17d1…acf7backed Rhode Island22c62$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6559…6e46backed Rhode Island50c62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3130%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9629…90a1backed Rhode Island22c61$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5432…33ddbacked Rhode Island25c59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2899…79d8backed Rhode Island29c57$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7de0…0543backed Rhode Island25c56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8001…4f23backed Rhode Island25c56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…0c34backed Rhode Island49c55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b4…332ebacked Rhode Island25c53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3006…891cbacked St. Joseph's80c49$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b0f…de7cbacked St. Joseph's75c44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0911…09edbacked St. Joseph's51c43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.073100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+183.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd934…3515backed St. Joseph's51c41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.09475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+30.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f0…cc28backed Rhode Island49c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed St. Joseph's80c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a4…4f9ebacked Rhode Island25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9867…1eebbacked St. Joseph's51c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a90…7228backed St. Joseph's71c36$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2ae…9d60backed Rhode Island29c36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.44475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+33.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1c6…c4c8backed St. Joseph's71c36$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.44366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cc6…9aa8backed St. Joseph's51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7836…d4b3backed Rhode Island49c29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a76…2c53backed Rhode Island49c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9c…4f37backed St. Joseph's75c28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb966…70c9backed Rhode Island49c27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebcd…13fbbacked St. Joseph's51c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.23450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x943f…52acbacked St. Joseph's51c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.74666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd59a…be36backed St. Joseph's78c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d85…1c3dbacked St. Joseph's80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb3e…45b3backed St. Joseph's70c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x170b…18e1backed St. Joseph's79c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b3a…a23bbacked St. Joseph's75c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a6…2ea3backed St. Joseph's76c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x744c…b439backed St. Joseph's71c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.093100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf25…ec37backed St. Joseph's79c21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ea…7ce0backed St. Joseph's80c21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+62.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5760…5ba1backed St. Joseph's75c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x878c…5849backed St. Joseph's79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc51c…ce3fbacked St. Joseph's75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04bf…b224backed St. Joseph's75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe93f…a2f0backed St. Joseph's75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77ab…56f1backed St. Joseph's79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c44…18dbbacked St. Joseph's75c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f5…33e9backed St. Joseph's75c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bb3…656bbacked St. Joseph's75c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4252backed St. Joseph's80c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a5d…70bcbacked St. Joseph's75c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d9…8d56backed St. Joseph's80c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7586…f255backed St. Joseph's75c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+151.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ddd…0159backed St. Joseph's80c17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99be…6312backed St. Joseph's75c17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25c5…4dbcbacked St. Joseph's80c17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e69…6ceebacked St. Joseph's80c16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74a6…7f1bbacked St. Joseph's80c16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf150…5b16backed St. Joseph's80c16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffe…967dbacked St. Joseph's80c16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x074e…6aaabacked St. Joseph's80c16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5e3…c374backed St. Joseph's75c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc51f…dabcbacked St. Joseph's80c16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.23100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4574…9ec7backed St. Joseph's80c16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.23100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+52.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ed5…38e2backed St. Joseph's78c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00e0…0d1fbacked St. Joseph's80c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f0…8d4ebacked St. Joseph's80c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.