La Liga · resolved market
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb82994809337287d6d3724f09da57f5994a822d6fd7683df542d1eb1327993cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 78c | 8,092$6,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.48 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 22c | 7,999$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.87 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 64c | 2,164$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.82 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +12.8wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Yes | 35c | 1,714$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.29 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 40c | 1,265$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.25 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 77c | 865.13$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.7 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 33c | 711.89$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.63 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 693.88$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.74 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 65c | 518.55$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.56 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 13c | 517.24$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.74 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…dacebacked No | 13c | 399.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.26per pick | 11cpaid | +262.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes | 36c | 280.15$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked Yes | 34c | 227.25$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 63c | 149.28$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.52 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd590…d117backed Yes | 34c | 139.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 15c | 96.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 79c | 93.04$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 35c | 91.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 64c | 90.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 66c | 71.94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 31c | 61.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 129 | 25.6%33 W · 96 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7af4…043abacked Yes | 36c | 55.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 70c | 43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 73c | 40.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a3…85c0backed Yes | 34c | 36.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 31c | 34.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 119 | 62.2%74 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51aa…10dabacked Yes | 79c | 13.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.81 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 78cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burgos CF win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will Real Zaragoza vs. Burgos CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-02-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.