Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Lost Puppies vs Formulation Gaming (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb87d5846a7f2c41c084a8559511b759aaf32e58a4bb4fcb2174143cb94058e78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Formulation Gamingof Lost Puppies, Formulation Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b37…1f70backed Formulation Gaming | 68c | 1,917$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.75 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Lost Puppies | 30c | 834.9$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.36 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked Lost Puppies | 31c | 522.44$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.96 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lost Puppies | 10c | 410.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Lost Puppies | 31c | 155.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed Lost Puppies | 32c | 106.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Formulation Gaming | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Lost Puppies | 32c | 76.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…26f2backed Lost Puppies | 31c | 61.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Lost Puppies | 31c | 54.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Lost Puppies | 31c | 47.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Lost Puppies | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Formulation Gaming | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Formulation Gaming | 69c | 22.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.