Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
San Diego vs. Pepperdine
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8936b6c9a06d2976d33e143c0f378452fa227c1236747abc319e66b684a2857
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pepperdineof San Diego, Pepperdine
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5052…d55abacked Pepperdine | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed San Diego | 21c | 247.16$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x943a…72e2backed San Diego | 25c | 155$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…e928backed San Diego | 26c | 153$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d5…ff97backed San Diego | 50c | 135$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…0c40backed Pepperdine | 74c | 114$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…e9d0backed Pepperdine | 50c | 85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…4e85backed Pepperdine | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb31…0ef1backed San Diego | 26c | 63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…db29backed San Diego | 25c | 57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f8…aea3backed Pepperdine | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd149…4156backed San Diego | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…19bbbacked Pepperdine | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ba…8ae2backed Pepperdine | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…5bcabacked Pepperdine | 75c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pepperdine | 50c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fd…12c1backed Pepperdine | 74c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb85…0077backed Pepperdine | 75c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pepperdine | 75c | 33.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebc8…00f1backed Pepperdine | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e3…0f87backed San Diego | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e24…44b1backed Pepperdine | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…2ce5backed Pepperdine | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Pepperdine | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe743…51a8backed Pepperdine | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…c20ebacked Pepperdine | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd97…e0eebacked San Diego | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b70…6cc9backed San Diego | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…b4e8backed Pepperdine | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2d…a699backed San Diego | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56a…1db4backed Pepperdine | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8f…b508backed Pepperdine | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2500…282dbacked Pepperdine | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…2410backed San Diego | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…3551backed San Diego | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed7f…9231backed Pepperdine | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe65d…f1b0backed Pepperdine | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce42…f303backed Pepperdine | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cd…4d97backed Pepperdine | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a29…e9f8backed San Diego | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…e8fdbacked Pepperdine | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b3…7ecebacked San Diego | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c52…ca27backed Pepperdine | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c81…05c9backed Pepperdine | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.