Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Chivas Esports vs Contra (BO3) - VCL Latin America North Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb898978d68f9792dd5bb3ad9ffabe72350578ab1814e9f45ab86c0c612d0027e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Contraof Chivas Esports, Contra
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,931 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Contra | 50c | 618.84$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.68 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Chivas Esports | 48c | 515.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -36%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Chivas Esports | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Contra | 52c | 400.33$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.84 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Chivas Esports | 54c | 375.33$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.68 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Contra | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Contra | 51c | 211.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.88 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…8306backed Chivas Esports | 12c | 163$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Chivas Esports | 24c | 140$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Contra | 52c | 110.05$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7db8…bbcebacked Chivas Esports | 48c | 103.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…7858backed Chivas Esports | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…2224backed Chivas Esports | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Contra | 51c | 85.22$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Contra | 47c | 62.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Contra | 53c | 50.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…2c71backed Contra | 53c | 43.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Chivas Esports | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Chivas Esports | 52c | 39.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Chivas Esports | 48c | 26.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Chivas Esports | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Contra | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.