Lol · resolved market
LoL: StoneHenge Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8a6a49b661c42cc321f3246e3d66704b607800771c8169aa9315444e6da739a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aeterna Esportsof StoneHenge Esports, Aeterna Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Aeterna Esports | 52c | 2,757$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.22 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed StoneHenge Esports | 16c | 2,425$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.31 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed StoneHenge Esports | 48c | 2,244$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked StoneHenge Esports | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Aeterna Esports | 40c | 482$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.2 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked StoneHenge Esports | 51c | 350$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.75 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked StoneHenge Esports | 62c | 346.31$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.71 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…aeb1backed StoneHenge Esports | 48c | 293.55$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.9 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Aeterna Esports | 49c | 278.18$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.76 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Aeterna Esports | 51c | 228.42$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.94 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Aeterna Esports | 57c | 171.37$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.95 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…45c4backed Aeterna Esports | 60c | 163.74$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 510 | 44.9%229 W · 281 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed StoneHenge Esports | 48c | 128.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 304 | 41.8%127 W · 177 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Aeterna Esports | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +16.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb882…fcabbacked Aeterna Esports | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: StoneHenge Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: StoneHenge Esports vs Aeterna Esports (BO5) - LIT PlayoffsAeterna Esports won
- LoL: StoneHenge Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 1 WinnerAeterna Esports won
- LoL: StoneHenge Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 3 WinnerAeterna Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.