Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Monmouth Hawks vs. Fairfield Stags
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9387003a1f97c36c62b619951f47f6c6a31037fa071bd652c98acb5009105de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fairfield Stagsof Monmouth Hawks, Fairfield Stags
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Monmouth Hawks | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Fairfield Stags | 48c | 2,574$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.89 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Fairfield Stags | 47c | 2,491$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.23 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Monmouth Hawks | 52c | 1,622$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.34 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Fairfield Stags | 47c | 1,170$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.09 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Fairfield Stags | 47c | 837.21$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.73 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Monmouth Hawks | 45c | 831.16$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.31 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Monmouth Hawks | 53c | 652.83$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Fairfield Stags | 44c | 593.23$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.95 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Monmouth Hawks | 53c | 395$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.35 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Monmouth Hawks | 66c | 309.71$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.01 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Fairfield Stags | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Monmouth Hawks | 53c | 274.61$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.57 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Monmouth Hawks | 58c | 249.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Fairfield Stags | 42c | 211.68$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.68 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fairfield Stags | 56c | 209.14$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.89 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Fairfield Stags | 64c | 141.7$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Monmouth Hawks | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Fairfield Stags | 37c | 121.12$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.27 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Monmouth Hawks | 36c | 113$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Monmouth Hawks | 35c | 112.68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Monmouth Hawks | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Monmouth Hawks | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Fairfield Stags | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Monmouth Hawks | 59c | 83.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Fairfield Stags | 64c | 36.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Monmouth Hawks | 51c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Fairfield Stags | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Fairfield Stags | 43c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ad…cc15backed Fairfield Stags | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Monmouth Hawks vs. Fairfield Stagsthis page
- Monmouth Hawks vs. Fairfield Stags: O/U 147.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.