CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: magic vs MINLATE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb95c47a680bd31b5fd44bc3deb81f6d3f7ccfa28f894a8eca4d9412c89cd3b8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof magic, MINLATE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MINLATE | 19c | 6,350$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.98 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed magic | 76c | 5,426$4,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.31 | 208 | 56.3%117 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked magic | 76c | 2,513$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.65 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed MINLATE | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked MINLATE | 23c | 1,372$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.52 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed magic | 75c | 961.43$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.65 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MINLATE | 4c | 909.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MINLATE | 25c | 699.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked magic | 76c | 550$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed MINLATE | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed magic | 75c | 403.12$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.12 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed magic | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MINLATE | 14c | 257.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked MINLATE | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…20a1backed magic | 75c | 244$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…44c3backed MINLATE | 26c | 200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…23afbacked magic | 74c | 169.89$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked MINLATE | 25c | 149.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed MINLATE | 28c | 143.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…0e7dbacked MINLATE | 71c | 140.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed MINLATE | 13c | 117.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked MINLATE | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…a496backed MINLATE | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe63b…b7c9backed MINLATE | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed MINLATE | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed magic | 79c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…7584backed magic | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: magic vs MINLATE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: magic vs MINLATE - Map 2 Winnermagic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.