CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9dccc199ee34418a96e98f8594af8a81b4494361734ff52a47012c7c59263d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnersof GamerLegion, Sinners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed Sinners | 66c | 2,289$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.16 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0636…c529backed GamerLegion | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.98 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -9.7wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Sinners | 67c | 1,782$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.04 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked GamerLegion | 36c | 1,132$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.27 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked GamerLegion | 35c | 1,008$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.35 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…4194backed Sinners | 65c | 787.5$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed Sinners | 66c | 756.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.38 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…b3a2backed GamerLegion | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed GamerLegion | 35c | 499.9$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.88 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked GamerLegion | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…59a1backed GamerLegion | 34c | 410.79$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 192 | 38%73 W · 119 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed GamerLegion | 35c | 356.98$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked GamerLegion | 34c | 349.4$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 336 | 58.6%197 W · 139 L | +23.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Sinners | 60c | 319.39$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.25 | 368 | 45.1%166 W · 202 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sinners | 64c | 313$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.21 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Sinners | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Sinners | 67c | 297.91$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.11 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed GamerLegion | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Sinners | 66c | 294.12$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed Sinners | 62c | 270$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked GamerLegion | 35c | 254.29$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed GamerLegion | 34c | 164.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 297 | 57.6%171 W · 126 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52cd…85fbbacked GamerLegion | 39c | 110.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 369 | 42%155 W · 214 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…2862backed Sinners | 67c | 103.8$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed GamerLegion | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Sinners | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed Sinners | 60c | 77.16$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 194 | 53.1%103 W · 91 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked GamerLegion | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Sinners | 67c | 71.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6347…3047backed GamerLegion | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed Sinners | 65c | 68.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…2cfbbacked GamerLegion | 35c | 65.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Sinners | 62c | 57.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Sinners | 61c | 49.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Sinners | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed GamerLegion | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…b6d5backed Sinners | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dc66backed GamerLegion | 65c | 29.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffd…08fabacked Sinners | 66c | 27.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 254 | 57.5%146 W · 108 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Sinners | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc334…fd2ebacked Sinners | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group BGamerLegion won
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs GamerLegion - Map 1 WinnerSinners won
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs GamerLegion - Map 2 WinnerGamerLegion won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.