Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Nicholls State vs. Lamar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb0d72a703815efb18b6801aca7f121b7aa889b832381be79dc082c0e460dd2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lamarof Nicholls State, Lamar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nicholls State | 45c | 3,734$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.81 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Lamar | 55c | 3,638$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.18 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Nicholls State | 37c | 247$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.83 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nicholls State | 46c | 226.92$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.38 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab2…05c7backed Lamar | 52c | 203$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b2…fbefbacked Nicholls State | 48c | 169$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…8a1cbacked Nicholls State | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f8…a731backed Lamar | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb577…9958backed Nicholls State | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d53…5430backed Lamar | 52c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611d…0ebbbacked Nicholls State | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…1de4backed Nicholls State | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa860…0377backed Lamar | 58c | 46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6152…78bfbacked Nicholls State | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…4a1cbacked Nicholls State | 42c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a90…3b99backed Nicholls State | 40c | 43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7718…2b46backed Lamar | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3c…069dbacked Nicholls State | 43c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0366…d9d5backed Nicholls State | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…1f2dbacked Lamar | 57c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3313…4b6fbacked Nicholls State | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c36…f18dbacked Nicholls State | 45c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fb…f6c7backed Nicholls State | 43c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…9f3bbacked Nicholls State | 48c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x364a…592abacked Nicholls State | 42c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…050ebacked Nicholls State | 45c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd97f…de29backed Nicholls State | 43c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…0f93backed Nicholls State | 47c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bca…df46backed Nicholls State | 43c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a75…5722backed Lamar | 61c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee3…fdf4backed Lamar | 53c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2a…f476backed Nicholls State | 40c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…f20abacked Lamar | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda1d…3ec7backed Nicholls State | 45c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5849…5c78backed Lamar | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…e104backed Lamar | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f3…ec34backed Lamar | 57c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ea…6cebbacked Lamar | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…3e29backed Lamar | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa16f…f2d0backed Lamar | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…c129backed Nicholls State | 40c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca8…db57backed Lamar | 55c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7350…ee53backed Lamar | 58c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac3…63e2backed Lamar | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…67e8backed Lamar | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5d…a00bbacked Lamar | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa220…ccfbbacked Lamar | 58c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…bacbbacked Lamar | 57c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8e…a0ddbacked Lamar | 60c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4282…ed93backed Lamar | 55c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6f…f070backed Lamar | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c3…9011backed Lamar | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x890e…fe2ebacked Lamar | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb443…4f8dbacked Lamar | 58c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x918d…70b9backed Lamar | 60c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc063…f113backed Lamar | 60c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…2f1cbacked Lamar | 60c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…7599backed Lamar | 60c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a59…a1c6backed Nicholls State | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…ce03backed Lamar | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaf…474abacked Lamar | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc30e…616fbacked Lamar | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…562cbacked Lamar | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4eb…b076backed Lamar | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ac…4482backed Nicholls State | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab9…d984backed Lamar | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb26b…7155backed Lamar | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf05…a7dbbacked Lamar | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.