South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-02-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbc699c64fb2e7b6d9c5f01f5dcfbbf6ceb83f6d31e229460501afb8de209875
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 635.39$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.56 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 552.54$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 33c | 496$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.68 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 31c | 402.09$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.65 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 32c | 258.89$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.79 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 31c | 217.22$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Yes | 33c | 141$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 10c | 135.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Yes | 33c | 108$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 76c | 97$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Yes | 33c | 81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 68c | 78.68$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed No | 67c | 72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 69c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked No | 67c | 39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed No | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed No | 67c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed No | 67c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 73c | 28.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed No | 67c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked No | 67c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…9f7cbacked No | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed No | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…c1a4backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed No | 67c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-02-08?this page
- Will CA Sarmiento vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-02-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.