CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Leo Team (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbf2d4a0ccd5198cc07b74e51bd33bda6ea6d3076de01975127002751c3f142e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leo Teamof K27, Leo Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed K27 | 0c | 4,494$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9009…043fbacked Leo Team | 28c | 2,400$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +141.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Leo Team | 38c | 1,324$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.33 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed K27 | 60c | 1,213$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.78 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…55c3backed K27 | 55c | 945.17$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.22 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…2aedbacked K27 | 72c | 800$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68fa…ee2fbacked K27 | 72c | 800$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1767…d2abbacked K27 | 72c | 800$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Leo Team | 39c | 536.22$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.63 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed Leo Team | 54c | 510.87$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Leo Team | 39c | 392.36$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.11 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Leo Team | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8112…6548backed Leo Team | 78c | 354$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe71f…09f2backed K27 | 63c | 300.58$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.3 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…5f44backed K27 | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed K27 | 40c | 246.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.65 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…f2ffbacked K27 | 66c | 105$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed Leo Team | 71c | 101$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Leo Team | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Leo Team | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…787bbacked K27 | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…d786backed K27 | 57c | 28.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed K27 | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Leo Team | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.