College Football · resolved market
Spread: Wake Forest (-17.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbf9e2c4b84f2a1073d246f51c42ae7003b611d7bd961c3e5f55de1fec32b2ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wake Forestof Wake Forest, Delaware Blue Hens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,208
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,208 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Wake Forest | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Delaware Blue Hens | 48c | 4,809$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.44 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Wake Forest | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Delaware Blue Hens | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Wake Forest | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Delaware Blue Hens | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Delaware Blue Hens | 48c | 990.2$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.29 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Wake Forest | 51c | 369.61$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.11 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaabc…a190backed Delaware Blue Hens | 49c | 367.35$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Delaware Blue Hens | 48c | 209.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…85bfbacked Delaware Blue Hens | 54c | 46.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Wake Forest | 49c | 39.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wake Forest (-17.5)this page
- Delaware Blue Hens vs. Wake ForestWake Forest won
- O/U 52.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.