Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Florida A&M Rattlers vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogs: O/U 138.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc08489b46c2e31a655539c2dc5114b13c0ad8a0188637955f10e531d8c751b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Under | 55c | 2,054$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.42 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 49c | 1,980$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.93 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 1,404$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.04 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 53c | 881.36$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.12 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 536.25$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.31 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 49c | 292.31$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.08 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 49c | 199.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 47c | 188.11$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.7 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 122.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Over | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…7b2fbacked Over | 53c | 95.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 51c | 95.08$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Over | 51c | 73.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 47c | 57.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb986…d032backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e7…84dfbacked Over | 49c | 41.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Over | 49c | 37.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…294dbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x407f…d62abacked Over | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -60%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 51c | 19.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Florida A&M Rattlers vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogs: O/U 138.5this page
- Florida A&M Rattlers vs. Alabama A&M BulldogsAlabama A&M Bulldogs won
- Florida A&M Rattlers vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogs: O/U 137.5Under won
- Florida A&M Rattlers vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogs: O/U 139.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.