Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc1f5587ae08e43f39991661c514ed54442d9b948f7626e731fe6c24e6c063f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olympique Lyonnaisof Olympique Lyonnais, MH Maccabi Tel Aviv
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv | 62c | 2,306$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.72 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed Olympique Lyonnais | 55c | 905.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Olympique Lyonnais | 32c | 740$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.2 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 583.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.03 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae8…5794backed Olympique Lyonnais | 33c | 419.79$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +199.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv | 43c | 342.33$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.55 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MH Maccabi Tel Aviv | 45c | 231.51$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.02 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80d…510ebacked Olympique Lyonnais | 37c | 216.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MH Maccabi Tel Aviv | 65c | 162.03$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.32 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 96.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…2a8ebacked Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Olympique Lyonnais | 29c | 47.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Olympique Lyonnais | 32c | 46.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56a…a485backed Olympique Lyonnais | 61c | 41.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv | 68c | 32.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -11.8wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv | 69c | 26.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…81d1backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv | 68c | 17.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv | 66c | 16.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)this page
- MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5Over won
- MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5Over won
- MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.