Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas Southern vs. Jackson State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc29020c404d4b6fd5fdf63c16a4a621c304b9e49f03a31a23a0f765131ac249
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jackson Stateof Texas Southern, Jackson State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Jackson State | 50c | 499$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.58 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e5…2151backed Texas Southern | 50c | 239$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…c512backed Texas Southern | 50c | 225$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…7529backed Jackson State | 50c | 215$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…c33cbacked Texas Southern | 50c | 208$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc4…5c48backed Jackson State | 50c | 207$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0abe…c03dbacked Texas Southern | 50c | 196$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ff…f8afbacked Texas Southern | 50c | 191$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ea…9facbacked Texas Southern | 50c | 190$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9060…5ed2backed Jackson State | 50c | 171$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…6176backed Jackson State | 50c | 165$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3872…19d4backed Texas Southern | 50c | 117$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…775bbacked Jackson State | 50c | 115$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf659…3665backed Texas Southern | 68c | 63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2603…15c4backed Jackson State | 32c | 54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…8f94backed Texas Southern | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.