CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs TNC (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc45f6086195a3ec0e29d5fdcdba72afe75b4ac5d044d15489ccac0c9ea075f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TNCof Just Players, TNC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TNC | 37c | 701.84$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.05 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed TNC | 48c | 389.56$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Just Players | 72c | 270.28$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.18 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Just Players | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed TNC | 55c | 178.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.35 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Just Players | 54c | 158$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.32 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Just Players | 38c | 136.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Just Players | 55c | 124.68$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.96 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked TNC | 64c | 95.16$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Just Players | 63c | 77.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed TNC | 43c | 62.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Just Players | 70c | 54.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked TNC | 49c | 49.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Just Players | 62c | 49.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Just Players | 64c | 46.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Just Players | 56c | 42.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c94…5b86backed TNC | 36c | 37.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Just Players | 51c | 36.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked TNC | 63c | 30.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…faacbacked Just Players | 68c | 28.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed TNC | 43c | 26.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Just Players | 67c | 26.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…2368backed Just Players | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Just Players | 49c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Just Players | 51c | 20.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Just Players | 61c | 19.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.