Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
IPFW vs. Robert Morris
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcb0e973cff629436607d9455c1379514eaa5937f03b85fa39413d2a9a0e6882
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Robert Morrisof IPFW, Robert Morris
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf79a…f051backed Robert Morris | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07bf…dd92backed IPFW | 50c | 95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4932…203fbacked IPFW | 50c | 88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…5c84backed IPFW | 50c | 68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…44ebbacked Robert Morris | 57c | 67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x398b…96edbacked Robert Morris | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3c…ddd9backed Robert Morris | 57c | 62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…23d3backed Robert Morris | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd39c…0277backed IPFW | 50c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x909c…2d08backed Robert Morris | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…ffc7backed IPFW | 50c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a2…3c55backed Robert Morris | 58c | 49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…1c2cbacked IPFW | 43c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…f88dbacked Robert Morris | 50c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked IPFW | 42c | 46.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9972…0339backed IPFW | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Robert Morris | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f18…8446backed IPFW | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a17…eb81backed Robert Morris | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 55cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1717…6efebacked Robert Morris | 58c | 41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84dd…49b9backed IPFW | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb245…fe17backed IPFW | 43c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703f…6114backed IPFW | 42c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8698…35acbacked IPFW | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc68b…bd28backed IPFW | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e4…3ba1backed IPFW | 42c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x372f…5152backed IPFW | 42c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…a27dbacked IPFW | 43c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac29…85dbbacked IPFW | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…9420backed IPFW | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4e…f629backed IPFW | 48c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bc…d29dbacked Robert Morris | 58c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f4…c367backed Robert Morris | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6f…e098backed IPFW | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x319b…ac6bbacked Robert Morris | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f98…fb7abacked Robert Morris | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8da…7842backed Robert Morris | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8576…ae5ebacked IPFW | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Robert Morris | 56c | 24.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…f409backed IPFW | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c86…21e6backed IPFW | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdd…0f7cbacked Robert Morris | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a6…d09dbacked Robert Morris | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 44cpaid | +144%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd413…2b9abacked Robert Morris | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…7d35backed Robert Morris | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7929…c76dbacked Robert Morris | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed25…8b51backed Robert Morris | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…6d3bbacked Robert Morris | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf738…5b6fbacked Robert Morris | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7a…32a7backed Robert Morris | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…5cd6backed Robert Morris | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3c…ef7dbacked Robert Morris | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c71…83c4backed Robert Morris | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x921c…0b0ebacked Robert Morris | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.