Premier League · resolved market
Will Luton Town FC win on 2025-10-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcdacbc9ad1d18fb52e026e82c838f0e3b28aff71afea26dad4bd2f9bfec8577
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 10c | 1,226$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.65 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 64c | 313.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.48 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9987…79dfbacked Yes | 66c | 305.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 31c | 198.38$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Yes | 68c | 164.45$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 36c | 158$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 27c | 149.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 69c | 144.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.91 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -16.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed No | 35c | 140.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 34c | 129.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 67c | 110$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 23c | 82.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fc…7738backed Yes | 67c | 82.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 72c | 76.47$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 34c | 72.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Yes | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 32c | 61.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 50c | 56.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 38c | 52.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 31c | 51.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 203 | 7.4%15 W · 188 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 34c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd76…fdf3backed Yes | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 64c | 38.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…4260backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 70c | 22.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Luton Town FC win on 2025-10-31?this page
- Will Forest Green Rovers FC win on 2025-10-31?No won
- Will Luton Town FC vs. Forest Green Rovers FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.