Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe17d04af30ccc3f874caa4940b9b51b6a2b604f432a1672e1600ae25c1fbcfb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 45c | 3,650$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.5 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 55c | 3,092$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.31 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 59c | 1,659$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.22 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 41c | 749.99$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.49 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 42c | 573.73$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.05 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 60c | 531.71$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.75 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 41c | 517.64$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.31 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 62c | 370$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.8 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed No | 40c | 195$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 37c | 125$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 77c | 120.58$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked Yes | 58c | 60.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 40c | 58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 42c | 54.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…8cffbacked Yes | 60c | 43.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 41c | 39.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…fb99backed Yes | 78c | 34.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will Falkirk FC vs. Kilmarnock FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2026-02-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.