CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: SportsBetExpert (-1.5) vs LAG Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe3ddb1771310d15ccacf313a33af28bb47276f7d2afd02e44ce593e47d7f037
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LAG Gamingof SportsBetExpert, LAG Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked SportsBetExpert | 39c | 3,033$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.59 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked LAG Gaming | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3116…b30dbacked LAG Gaming | 60c | 947$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.8 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed SportsBetExpert | 40c | 910.03$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.01 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked LAG Gaming | 61c | 853.93$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.09 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked LAG Gaming | 60c | 624$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.6 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed SportsBetExpert | 39c | 618.93$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.32 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed SportsBetExpert | 39c | 512.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.79 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked LAG Gaming | 61c | 280$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.7 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed LAG Gaming | 61c | 256.29$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.95 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7290…bdf6backed LAG Gaming | 60c | 252.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed LAG Gaming | 60c | 210$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed LAG Gaming | 62c | 209.68$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.68 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed LAG Gaming | 61c | 205$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.95 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…6bd8backed LAG Gaming | 61c | 180.32$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…fa0ebacked SportsBetExpert | 39c | 163.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ae…b263backed LAG Gaming | 60c | 111.67$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed SportsBetExpert | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed LAG Gaming | 62c | 82.94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 167 | 54.5%91 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac8…f0a3backed LAG Gaming | 61c | 67.24$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed LAG Gaming | 61c | 55.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…3e7abacked LAG Gaming | 62c | 51.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed SportsBetExpert | 39c | 29.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked SportsBetExpert | 40c | 27.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: SportsBetExpert (-1.5) vs LAG Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs SportsBetExpert (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier PlayoffsSportsBetExpert won
- Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs SportsBetExpert - Map 1 WinnerSportsBetExpert won
- Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs SportsBetExpert - Map 2 WinnerLAG Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.