Fifa International · resolved market
Will Uzbekistan win on 2025-10-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe549614d8901334fb0bbeeb7889d65a2982b0ab120ce5ef0a8d8eda936b7a09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 77c | 3,374$2,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.25 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 2c | 2,717$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x967d…ef6abacked Yes | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 64 | 73.4%47 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 23c | 2,100$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.5 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 23c | 2,000$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.38 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 18c | 340.05$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 17c | 297.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked No | 21c | 150$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 26c | 95.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 19c | 61.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…8e0ebacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb933…fb0abacked Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a81…e071backed Yes | 80c | 17.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Uzbekistan win on 2025-10-09?this page
- Will Kuwait win on 2025-10-09?No won
- Will Uzbekistan vs. Kuwait end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.