Lol · resolved market
LoL: Misa Esports vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf3cae9098fa27586929cc8a8c520983ced99d49e3695f4918c29748644a342a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, SU Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed SU Esports | 1c | 4,024$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Misa Esports | 79c | 2,450$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.44 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed SU Esports | 17c | 2,100$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.99 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…a37abacked SU Esports | 21c | 1,565$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked SU Esports | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed SU Esports | 13c | 999.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed SU Esports | 19c | 982.66$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.27 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b6…081cbacked SU Esports | 23c | 264.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed9e…5fc7backed SU Esports | 5c | 263.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb878…e3e2backed SU Esports | 19c | 158.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked SU Esports | 18c | 149.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…2a56backed SU Esports | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…733bbacked SU Esports | 18c | 80.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +139.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41eb…8edabacked SU Esports | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc4…9146backed SU Esports | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Misa Esports | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Misa Esports vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Group Bthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs SU Esports - Game 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs SU Esports - Game 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.