Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Carolina vs. Virginia Tech
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf511e89e821553d9b283ca523a1c3b2470c26ce5243a913d0f7b290d2a41d58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Carolinaof North Carolina, Virginia Tech
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed North Carolina | 59c | 343$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.05 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…0488backed Virginia Tech | 19c | 263$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked North Carolina | 75c | 214$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe933…f4acbacked Virginia Tech | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Virginia Tech | 21c | 116.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf69d…5868backed Virginia Tech | 27c | 105$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd8…6d0cbacked Virginia Tech | 23c | 97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…a12bbacked North Carolina | 73c | 86$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…c59bbacked North Carolina | 77c | 84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +168.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…4539backed Virginia Tech | 26c | 81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf9…0122backed Virginia Tech | 24c | 79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc6…04dcbacked Virginia Tech | 23c | 77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…6559backed Virginia Tech | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb77f…d928backed Virginia Tech | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Virginia Tech | 18c | 74.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…5ce3backed Virginia Tech | 24c | 74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc08…019dbacked Virginia Tech | 25c | 65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f62…2933backed Virginia Tech | 25c | 64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7c…0118backed Virginia Tech | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456e…710abacked North Carolina | 75c | 57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b149backed North Carolina | 74c | 57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…d27dbacked Virginia Tech | 24c | 57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…542dbacked Virginia Tech | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6997…c67cbacked Virginia Tech | 24c | 53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…ac6abacked North Carolina | 76c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +127.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Virginia Tech | 23c | 51.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfe…a1e0backed North Carolina | 79c | 50.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10c0…9909backed North Carolina | 76c | 47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22fa…3f15backed Virginia Tech | 29c | 47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked North Carolina | 76c | 43.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3df…2526backed Virginia Tech | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d2…2b5bbacked North Carolina | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc20…40f8backed Virginia Tech | 27c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d77…7c1ebacked North Carolina | 75c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a23…a94fbacked North Carolina | 73c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…6850backed North Carolina | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f9…2843backed North Carolina | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6316…785fbacked North Carolina | 73c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05dc…9aa9backed North Carolina | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5635…8eddbacked North Carolina | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…de66backed North Carolina | 75c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67c…269bbacked North Carolina | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4081…6bf1backed North Carolina | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc681…5260backed North Carolina | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c5…297dbacked North Carolina | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1e…7193backed North Carolina | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8327…8233backed North Carolina | 76c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…ebfabacked North Carolina | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df6…0a43backed North Carolina | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f33…f485backed North Carolina | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15d…9bffbacked North Carolina | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…f6acbacked North Carolina | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…3b02backed North Carolina | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…c035backed North Carolina | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a59…e31abacked North Carolina | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +67%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeef…cd5ebacked North Carolina | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e3…1b3cbacked North Carolina | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…3170backed North Carolina | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb211…4b2ebacked North Carolina | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8391…7904backed North Carolina | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f18…840ebacked North Carolina | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…2596backed North Carolina | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2229…72cbbacked North Carolina | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db8…24f1backed North Carolina | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09cf…f43bbacked North Carolina | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16a0…2142backed North Carolina | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b92…b31dbacked North Carolina | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.