Lol · resolved market
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfb57097d5149773aef0b4a389d5d8857147a693d469aba9cc1248a5447ad861
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dplus KIA Challengersof BNK FearX Youth, Dplus KIA Challengers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd52…0c2fbacked BNK FearX Youth | 46c | 1,001$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed BNK FearX Youth | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed BNK FearX Youth | 10c | 1,000$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 52c | 955.1$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.1 | 121 | 37.2%45 W · 76 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…9c9abacked BNK FearX Youth | 2c | 849.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 37cpaid | +141.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked BNK FearX Youth | 48c | 760.04$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.52 | 133 | 45.1%60 W · 73 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked BNK FearX Youth | 9c | 579$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.66 | 227 | 48%109 W · 118 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BNK FearX Youth | 48c | 515.36$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.46 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…87e5backed BNK FearX Youth | 5c | 206.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Dplus KIA Challengers | 53c | 47.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 549 | 44.4%244 W · 305 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group StageBNK FearX Youth won
- LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 WinnerBNK FearX Youth won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.