Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wyoming vs. Nevada
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfdef1100b14d19b7015730ce00c0be07869567a2578b81a3d425d931a8d50f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nevadaof Wyoming, Nevada
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Nevada | 79c | 362$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.19 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfb…6e4cbacked Wyoming | 22c | 267$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13dc…f49fbacked Wyoming | 20c | 202$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4100…8ec3backed Wyoming | 21c | 194$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee74…d17ebacked Nevada | 78c | 184$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4d…fafabacked Nevada | 79c | 162$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9635…5ec7backed Nevada | 79c | 156$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f56…43e9backed Nevada | 79c | 124$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182f…4dbabacked Wyoming | 22c | 117$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa171…e34cbacked Wyoming | 12c | 116$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ea…ad1dbacked Wyoming | 14c | 91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +61%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa77f…169fbacked Wyoming | 21c | 85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c1…91efbacked Wyoming | 22c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafda…d128backed Nevada | 79c | 61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9103…6674backed Nevada | 78c | 61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf534…faafbacked Nevada | 78c | 58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…6bd4backed Wyoming | 21c | 52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a8…d521backed Nevada | 79c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac02…793fbacked Nevada | 79c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…394fbacked Nevada | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…702dbacked Nevada | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdef4…6df0backed Nevada | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x107e…6c3cbacked Nevada | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1132…43cbbacked Nevada | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb6…3d70backed Nevada | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd45d…933ebacked Nevada | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b3…02e0backed Nevada | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.