MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc07d7af36115ec027fb8ba39108206dc0acff9f0b09143c89ec792db545c9af3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Los Angeles Angels, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,542 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Athletics | 57c | 1,916$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.29 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 1,525$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.74 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Athletics | 59c | 1,111$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.51 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Athletics | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.16 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Athletics | 54c | 959.27$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.29 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 574.83$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.21 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 406$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.48 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 268$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.59 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Athletics | 56c | 160$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 121.2$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Athletics | 75c | 98.65$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c1…7ad0backed Athletics | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce5…0f71backed Los Angeles Angels | 16c | 77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Los Angeles Angels | 34c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Athletics | 53c | 71.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Athletics | 65c | 71.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Athletics | 56c | 71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb69b…6083backed Los Angeles Angels | 29c | 68.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 35cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Los Angeles Angels | 34c | 54.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Los Angeles Angels | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Athletics | 55c | 49.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Athletics | 55c | 36.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 29.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Athletics | 59c | 24.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Athletics | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Athletics | 76c | 20.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.