CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc090b186ecf3b66e48bceedfc8826f12c4a0a2061b5f115003de6fb93308afa4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ASTRALof ASTRAL, ex-Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36f9…4df8backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 48c | 669.43$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.21 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 10c | 384.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ASTRAL | 49c | 208.24$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.51 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aae…0da3backed ASTRAL | 79c | 194.53$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5900…45ebbacked ASTRAL | 54c | 183.88$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.58 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97d…e699backed ASTRAL | 55c | 178.53$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.34 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 69c | 162.86$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 45c | 155$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ASTRAL | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 35c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked ASTRAL | 38c | 41.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 35c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ASTRAL | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…355fbacked ASTRAL | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…5369backed ASTRAL | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 187 | 58.3%109 W · 78 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group StageASTRAL won
- Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 WinnerASTRAL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.