CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Omega vs HAVU - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc12181058f904b75286f2f293343dc831dd127c6a6dd29b56cd967f4f18b75d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HAVUof Omega, HAVU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Omega | 37c | 1,307$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.41 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed HAVU | 59c | 600$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed HAVU | 61c | 449.5$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.42 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked HAVU | 72c | 312.16$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.22 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Omega | 30c | 181$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked HAVU | 68c | 170.5$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Omega | 29c | 170$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf52e…54fcbacked Omega | 25c | 148.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Omega | 38c | 142.07$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Omega | 30c | 142$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Omega | 30c | 123$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed HAVU | 66c | 104.3$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 358 | 48%172 W · 186 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Omega | 17c | 90$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Omega | 34c | 87.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed HAVU | 57c | 84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc9…e4afbacked HAVU | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Omega | 29c | 67.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed HAVU | 66c | 67.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed HAVU | 61c | 57.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Omega | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HAVU | 62c | 54.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed HAVU | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Omega | 38c | 34.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked HAVU | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 1,051 | 57.2%601 W · 450 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked HAVU | 55c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 447 | 63.5%284 W · 163 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed HAVU | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed HAVU | 66c | 18.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs HAVU - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group StageHAVU won
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs HAVU - Map 1 WinnerOmega won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.