TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Rutgers vs. Washington

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rutgersof Rutgers, Washington
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,166
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,788

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,166 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb786…b18dbacked Rutgers41c3,481$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,064.0353057.4%304 W · 226 L+33.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Washington59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.9639144.5%174 W · 217 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Rutgers42c334.71$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.7142948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cef…28e1backed Washington50c209$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01a…4ecbbacked Rutgers50c177$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7023…f271backed Rutgers50c163$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick60cpaid+72.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Rutgers41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.828335%99 W · 184 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Washington58c108.94$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.23per pick58cpaid-38.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa890…7c58backed Washington50c104$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf482…d3c3backed Rutgers45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.892040%8 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+51.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Washington40c69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.591,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Rutgers43c44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0834842.8%149 W · 199 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Washington56c35.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0160551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16e6…1c52backed Washington57c35.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209658.3%56 W · 40 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f1e…d027backed Washington32c32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ef…8892backed Washington32c32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0bb…944ebacked Rutgers39c28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ab…ba03backed Rutgers39c28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.083100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Washington59c27.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4420548.8%100 W · 105 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcdca…7ea7backed Washington45c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4980…ddcbbacked Washington50c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15c4…b180backed Washington45c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d5…7053backed Rutgers50c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf471…78dbbacked Rutgers50c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d93…5f2cbacked Rutgers50c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fba…917fbacked Washington50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fbd…a7c5backed Washington50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43ca…ba5cbacked Washington50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09b9…2244backed Washington50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb97…e519backed Rutgers50c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0678…3be3backed Washington50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e6…5178backed Rutgers50c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e2…827abacked Washington50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x009b…0290backed Rutgers50c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafbc…a8b5backed Rutgers44c24.87$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.851833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x08a4…86cbbacked Washington49c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc3a…c1ffbacked Washington48c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28c8…7fd1backed Washington49c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4af…c92cbacked Washington49c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c56…b5f9backed Rutgers51c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2788…3883backed Rutgers51c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd240…2767backed Rutgers51c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.27475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+40.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3b…3d20backed Rutgers51c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.27250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9020…f183backed Rutgers50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x974c…672abacked Rutgers52c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3de…e66bbacked Rutgers52c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.563100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcfb…5f4fbacked Rutgers51c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b9…1d00backed Rutgers50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f4f…0079backed Washington50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6962…ef2dbacked Washington49c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef58…c977backed Washington50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c70…ec07backed Washington48c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x400c…10e0backed Washington50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf289…d8dbbacked Washington50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x058a…e21fbacked Washington50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc43c…b400backed Rutgers50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6906…508bbacked Rutgers50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb320…03b8backed Rutgers50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+41.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe75…cb50backed Rutgers50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2985…cba6backed Rutgers55c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bd3…90cabacked Washington49c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf206…17e0backed Rutgers51c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.782100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3306…9a14backed Rutgers50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab3a…a125backed Washington48c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e6…c7bebacked Washington50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f91…3c5fbacked Washington50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb66…8356backed Rutgers50c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…3667backed Washington49c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34a2…6659backed Rutgers48c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d50…13eebacked Washington50c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb7…34c8backed Rutgers48c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a2d…ced6backed Rutgers48c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.923100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+56.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a4d…b559backed Rutgers48c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf17e…2ba3backed Rutgers48c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d0…6826backed Washington51c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8373…ac20backed Washington52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadcb…d232backed Washington52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a5d…570ebacked Washington52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc14…e3cfbacked Washington61c18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x252a…b4b1backed Washington61c18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35c7…e50cbacked Rutgers68c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f83…b66dbacked Rutgers68c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x258a…1f8fbacked Rutgers68c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f97…a264backed Rutgers68c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb215…884cbacked Rutgers68c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.